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It is a scant day in terms of key economic data releases. In Euroland, we have the release of industrial production and from the UK, we have the labour market report as the main key economic data. In...
GDP growth has slowed markedly to just around 1% q/q AR over the past three quarters - annual GDP growth declined from 3.3% y/y in Q1 15 to 1.2% y/y in Q2 16. Unemployment and underemployment rates...
The UK’s labour market report for August - what signs of post-Brexit stress? Eurozone industrial activity is on track to slide in today’s update for July Rumours that the Bank of Japan is...
“The economy is tanking and, while you may be the most pessimistic around, you may not be pessimistic enough.” To that I would say that I’m significantly more bearish than is...
Numbers like gross domestic product (GDP) and the unemployment rate no longer provide insight into how our economy works. As the status quo narratives and metrics lose their explanatory value,...
When will the mainstream financial media do their job and start calling Fed officials out for switching from the Core Inflation metric to justify a continuance of ZIRP? The actual Inflation Rate is...
The volatility on every trader’s lips continued overnight, with stocks rejecting off the bottom of this technical range after retesting previous support as resistance. S&P 500 4 Hourly: In...
The following chart shows that on a monthly closing basis, bank reserves held at the Fed peaked in August of 2014 at $2.79T and by August-2016 had shrunk to $2.35T. This amounts to a $440B decline in...
The market has not changed its mind. Following Brainard's comments on Monday the market downgraded the chances, which were already modest, of a Fed hike next week. The September Fed funds futures is...
What’s the first thing you do when you wake up? For tens of millions of Americans, the answer’s the same. Every morning, they stretch their arms out, roll over in bed, and... No, they...
Far from the market expectation few weeks ago, the industrial output in China expanded 6.3 percent for the month of August. The data was released during the early session on Tuesday while the market...
Italy’s Finance Minister, Pier Carlo Padoan, has explained that the nation’s banking system can be recapitalized without a formal bailout or financial aid from the European Stability...
Optimism was back on markets yesterday further to comments by U.S. Federal Reserve (“Fed”) officials Lael Brainard and Neel Kashkari hinting that there was no rush to raise the key rate....
'Soft' economic indicators suggest that the UK has rebounded in August after the initial deceleration in July, suggesting that the UK economy may avoid a Brexit-recession. As the economic data have...
The Federal Reserve blackout period is now upon us, giving traders a week to speculate on the impact of what has been said and the few pieces of data we get between now and the decision next...