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Market movers ahead Next week, the primary focus will remain on the Donald Trump win and any news on what to expect from the new Trump administration next year. Following the initial sell-off in...
Every month the market waits for what many believe is the most important report of the month - the US jobs report. Once again, everyone sang its praises and talk centered around whether the Fed would...
In 1824, Andrew Jackson ran for president against John Adams. In a highly contentious outcome, Adams struck a deal with Henry Clay which denied Jackson the presidency and gave Adams the highest office...
Many were scared of the reaction to a Donald Trump presidency, even the Federal Reserve open market committee. How do we know that? They telegraphed the uncertainty in their statement following the...
Economic CommentaryThe election of Donald J. Trump has provided the world with another Brexit-esque political surprise. News of the election outcome immediately triggered a broad risk-off sentiment in...
China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) reported a large drop in forex assets in October. This was unsurprising given what we already know of “dollar” conditions from...
I have political views, but I try to keep them out of my classes and my blog posts. I teach and write about corporate finance/valuation, not political science, and I don't think it is fair to subject...
Covered call writing and selling cash-secured puts obligates us to buy or sell shares at the strike price by the expiration date. Exercise will generally occur if the strike is in-the-money by 4 PM ET...
Note: We've update this commentary with data through this week's election results and yesterday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries since our last update. The yield on the 10-year...
Unless you have been living in a cave, you are probably aware the country has elected a new president. Leading up to Election Day, the anxiety was palpable. A populist wave, much like the one...
From the look of the inversely related, mirror images of USD vs. gold, my pattern work strongly suggests that each has more road to travel in prior to my expectation of a significant reversal -- down...
Before the election, there were dire predictions about what a Donald Trump presidency may mean for the US stock market, with some prognosticators calling for a -7% (seven sigma!) drop on the first...
Some of the heat has come out of the ‘Trumpnomics’ inspired rally in equities and sell-off in fixed income. That said, we are still seeing the Dow Jones index trade to a new record high,...
This is the fourth document based on a trip to China this autumn. We look at China's challenges relating to overcapacity and the lack of reform of inefficient state-owned enterprises (SOEs).To read...
Donald Trump’s unprecedented win in the U.S. elections has raised may questions about what the future will look like. At the forefront of the conversation is the proposed economic policies of...