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We hit on a controversial topic last week. Who knew the subject of time would get such attention?It’s a funny thing to think about. Time is something we all have. Some have a lot. Some have a...
February unemployment in the Eurozone should hit its lowest rate since 2009 The 9% plus levels are still high, but there are now grounds for hope on jobs US ISM Manufacturing Index should dip in March...
We utilize the latest interview by Fed member James Bullard as the basis to explain the Black Swan Scenario theta the Federal Reserve faces over the next investment period, and the ramifications this...
The BEA released the 3rd revision to 4Q GDP. Overall growth was 2.1% quarter to quarter and 1% Y/Y.Let’s analyze the four major spending categories, beginning with personal consumption...
Earlier last week I was uncertain of the structure in the dollar rally and provided a warning of a possible direct follow-through. Friday’s follow-through appears to imply that we’ve seen...
EM FX was mixed last week. The rebound in oil helped some, such as COP, RUB, and MXN. On the other hand, idiosyncratic political risks weighed on South Africa. This week could pose a challenge to EM,...
Academic bloggers and other high-profile commentators have argued there is still sufficient slack in the economy to warrant keeping rates low for now. Labor utilization measures (such as the U-6...
The week’s biggest news was the UK’s invocation of Article 50, formally beginning “Brexit.” Numerous people have offered commentary on this event. But there are only 2 firm...
IntroductionWhatever we create, whether it is trading strategy, risk management system or anything else, our philosophy is to do it as simply and as practically as possible. Whatever we do is supposed...
VIX broke out above its Long-term resistance at 13.45 again to create a potential inverted Head & Shoulders formation.Abuy signal has been made above its Intermediate-term resistance at...
Pim van Vliet and Jan de Koning, both members of Robeco’s quantitative equities team (with van Vliet responsible primarily for the firm’s conservative equity strategies), have written a...
Market movers ahead In the US, the key event of next week is Friday's labour market report. We forecast it will show a total of 160,000 new jobs, an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.7% and monthly...
The Chinese smartphone market via Visual CapitalSmartphones are a ubiquitous part of modern life, and now nearly half of humanity is connected through such devices. As a result, the stakes have never...
Italy has two sets of credit default swaps (CDS) in play. One set uses 2003 rules of credit events. The other uses rules from 2014 and later.Under 2003 rules, repayment of euro bond obligations in...