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The US jobs data is notoriously difficult to accurately forecast consistently. I do not claim to do so now. My intent is more modest. It is simply to point out why there is risk that the jobs data is...
Mounting signs that the global business cycle is peakingWe expect a pause in the equity bull market and that risk factors move back to the fore We still expect the bond bear market is over for...
A calendar of key events in the Commodities Market for the next two weeks.To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below
UK’s manufacturing and industrial production unexpectedly contracted for the second month in a row.Soft data revived the Bank of England (BoE) doves and backed the idea that the inflation alone...
GBP/CADToday’s support: - 1.6672 and 1.6653(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.6628, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.6605. Break of the latter would result...
Risk aversion comes back to drive the market as US President Donald Trump, while he was meeting with China President Xi Jinping, ordered air strike on Syria. That was in response to Syrian...
FTSE -18 points at 7285DAX -45 points at 12185 CAC -10 points at 5111 Euro Stoxx -9 points at 3480 The barrel of WTI crude rallied to $52.94 following the US strike on Syria, as a response to the...
After an initial “Trump Dump” on a flee to safety post the Syrian missile attack, some normalcy returns to Friday’s market.As mentioned this morning, after the initial safe-haven...
(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin)The Czech National Bank (CNB) ended the EUR/CZK floor today. Timing was a little earlier than expected, but rising inflation and a robust economy warranted it. We think...
I read the following excerpt in the morning edition of NightWatch for April 4. An important reason [the threat of actual war] remains low is that spring planting has begun in North Korea. As a nation...
The Czech koruna surged almost 1.5 percent to its highest level against the euro since November 2013 on Thursday, after the country’s central bank scrapped the cap on the currency it had in...
Here is the opening statement from the Department of Labor: In the week ending April 1, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 234,000, a decrease of 25,000 from the previous...
In the FOMC minutes released yesterday, it said that 'a change to the Committee's reinvestment policy would likely be appropriate later this year', provided that the economy continued to perform about...