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EUR/USD Set To Fall

Published 03/26/2015, 06:03 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

Market Overview

The Fed and the BoE scale back their policy rate outlook.

In a surprise move, Sweden's Riksbank eases policy again.

Oil prices dip briefly again.

Interest-rate hedging

We recommend being relatively neutral duration on the EUR curve.

Increase EUR duration by selling receiver swaptions.

We recommend maintaining high hedge ratios for USD liabilities.

FX hedging

EUR/USD set to fall further over the coming six months - forecast at 0.99 on a 6M horizon.

We recommend hedging USD-denominated income via option strategies.

USD-denominated expenses should be hedged via FX forwards.

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