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Gold Extends Gains On FOMC Minutes, Ukraine

Published 04/10/2014, 01:46 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:32 AM

Gold jumped to a two-week high of 1324.43, boosted by yesterday’s release of dovish minutes from the March FOMC meeting. Ongoing tensions in Ukraine are keeping the yellow metal underpinned as well.

Yesterday’s release of the minutes from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting showed that the status quo on Fed policy prevails. There was no mention of rate hikes six-months after QE ends, as suggested by Janet Yellen during her first press conference. This sparked an unwinding of more hawkish expectations that had developed after Yellen’s comments: Bonds rallied, driving yields on the 10-year note back toward 2.60%. Stocks rallied, as did gold.

Gold and bonds pushed higher today, but stocks were quickly back on the ropes, weighed by technology shares and earnings worries. Renewed weakness in the dollar this week is seen as supportive to gold as well.

Pro-Russian protesters continue to occupy government buildings in eastern-Ukraine and are calling for succession. Russian President Putin ratcheted up pressure on Europe by warning that Ukraine’s delayed payments for Russian natural gas has created a “critical situation,” which could impede gas deliveries and create shortages elsewhere on the Continent. Meanwhile, NATO released satellite photos showing the Russian troops buildup on the Ukrainian border. The images show tanks, armored vehicles, artillery and aircraft massing at makeshift staging posts, that are “ready for action.”

A better than expected initial jobless claims print this morning knocked gold off its intraday highs, but the downside has been limited. Today’s definitive push back above the 50-day moving average is seen as technically encouraging. This moves adds additional credence to the ‘golden cross’ (50-day MA crossing above 200-day MA) that occurred back in March, another bullish technical event.

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