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Emini Breakout In Doubt

Published 05/02/2016, 10:17 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Emini S&P 500: 25 Day

Potential Double-Headed Inverse H&S on ES 2-Minute Chart

ES is attempting to break out through the neckline of a potential double-headed inverse H&S this morning (red neckline on chart above). But it has formed a clear, small megaphone across the neckline, and that puts the breakout in doubt.

An upwards breakout from the megaphone would be a breakout from the inverse H&S with a target of roughly 2080. A downwards breakout from the little megaphone could mean ES is going to take out Friday’s low and put a falling megaphone on the chart (blue in chart below).

Emini: June Future

Potential Falling Megaphone on ES

A lower low here would suggest a deeper retrace of the move off the April 20 high. And, since it would likely put a megaphone right shoulder on the H&S on the chart, it would suggest a squeaker new high for a larger potential H&S.

As I’ve mentioned in earlier posts, I wouldn’t underestimate the pull of 2080 on ES, which spent March 2015 to August 20, 2015 vibrating across that level.

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