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Deutsche Bank: What’s Going On?

Published 09/30/2016, 07:10 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) shares are plunging again in morning European tradings. It’s 4:13 AM in Chicago, but Germany is seven hours ahead, making it 11:13 AM in Germany.

Deutsche Bank shares today set yet another record low in price. The Telegraph reports Deutsche Bank rout deepens: Shares plunge below €10 for first time ever.

What is going on?

Perception Issue

Deutshe Bank Headlines

The first thing we can rule out is Deutsche Bank’s comment this is a “perception issue”.

Banking stocks do not plunge from over $100 to under $10 on perception issues.

Deutsche Bank

‘We should look at the complete picture’, says Deutsche Bank’s CEO

John Cryan. Deutsche Bank has more than 20 million customers. We are and remain a strong Deutsche Bank.”

Shedlock On Deutsche Bank

“There are forces now under way in the market that want to weaken confidence in us. Our job now is to ensure that this distorted perception does not more strongly influence our day-to-day business,” said Cryan.

Shedlock On Deutsche Bank

CEO John Cryan

David Stockman On Deutsche Bank

Hedge Funds Pull Business From Deutsche Bank

The Financial Times reports Hedge Funds Pull Business From Deutsche Bank

Turkey Buyers

Turkey Buyers

What's Going On?

I do not know precisely, nor does anyone else. It could be exposure to Italian banks. It could be other counter-party risks. It could be a derivatives problem.

It could be Deutsche Bank’s derivatives book is so massively tangled that the bank itself is clueless where it stands.

But it is 100% clear that something major is wrong.

Regardless of what is wrong, this is the key question: Is a Depositor Bail-In Coming Up?

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No matter what you believe, why take chances?

Shedlock On Deutsche Bank

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