Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Daily Insight: Central Banks Continue To Drive Markets

Published 10/23/2014, 02:57 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

ASIA Roundup

UP NEXT:

Economic Events

Central banks continue to drive markets at the moment over the fundamentals. With ECB hinting at the purchase of corporate bonds whilst the FED also toying with the idea of delaying the end of their own QE, traders will continue to place bets on the likelihood of Central Bank action based on any market data available.

EUR: Out of the German and Eurozone Serves and Manufacturing PMI's, the more below 50 we get the greater the chances of stronger stimulus from ECB. Germany's Manufacturing peaked in Jan '14 and dipped into contraction last month, with further weakness expected ahead.
GBP: Retail sales are expected to have softened so any upside surprise here may help GBPUSD remain above 1.60
USD: With unemployment claims at a 14-year low and expected to be even lower then there is a clear bullish expectation from tonight's release. So any softness in this release will be a disappointment and may see further USD downside.
CAD: With BoC firmly stuck in neutral we do not expect any violent reactions from tonight's speech or rate 'decision', to remain fixed at 1%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

BRENT: Oil continues to slip

Brent

The decline on Oil has been impressive, to say the least. Looking at D1 (not pictured) you'll see that an 8 period MA has continued to cap as resistance to show how bearish the move has been. The 87 high was the recent test of this MA so I doubt we'll get a substantial pullback before losses resume.

Intraday trading already appears to be targeting the 82.47 lows so as long as we remain below 84.40 then we can consider selling into any rallies on much smaller timeframes (M5, M15 etc.).

If we do break back above 84.40 then we can consider bearish setups below 85.60 on H1 or H4 to target 82.47 and 80


Silver: Preparing for another drop
Silver

Remaining within a clear downtrend and the 21eMA continues to cap as resistance, current price action also suggests another leg down is pending.

The Rikshaw Man Doji on higher volume below 17.82 was the 1st clue which was followed by several smaller candles inside the range of the Doji, suggesting a hesitancy to buy at these lows.

However one slight concern is yesterday's Bearish Engulfing on lower volume. Whilst the candle itself is within line of the trend the lower volume suggests we may be treated to a retracement within yesterday’s range. If so this could provide a better reward/risk ratio to target 16.67, 16.30 and 16.00.


EURUSD: Break of Bearish Channel targets 1.25 lows

EUR/USD


The downside break didn't mess around, which favours a shallow pullback if we see one. The chances are will see a rebound from current levels due to several technical support levels highlighted.

Areas to consider selling into (fading) could be the daily pivot, or Daily R1 to target the 1.250 lows.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.