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Daily FX Analysis For August 23rd: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD.

Published 08/23/2016, 04:40 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM


EUR/USD

EUR/USD Daily Chart

Weekly Trend: Overbought
1st Resistance: 1.1340
2nd Resistance: 1.1385
1st Support: 1.1205
2nd Support: 1.1115
3rd Support: 1.1027


EUR

Recent Facts:

22nd of July 2016, German Manufacturing PMI (key indicator of the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector as surveyed in Germany)
Better than Expected. Setting a new high from May 2014

28th of July, German Unemployment Change
Better than Expected.

29th of July, European CPI (key preliminary inflation data in Europe)
Higher than Expected. Setting a new high since last February

18th of August, European CPI confirmed at 0.2% as Expected and as per previous month

Eyes on today release: German Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) and Markit Composite PMI: they measure the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector in Europe


USD

Recent Facts:

21st of July 2016, Existing Home Sales
Better than Expected. Setting a new high since August 2015, which was the highest value of the last 6 years

29th of July, Gross Domestic Product QoQ (preliminary)
Worse than Expected. Actual = +1.2% Expectations were at +2.6%

3rd of August, ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
Better than Expected. Continuing the up-trend from last May

5th of August, Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate
Nonfarm Payrolls Better than Expected (for the second month in a row), Unemployment Rate pared

9th of August, United States Nonfarm productivity
Worse than Expected

12th of August, U.S. Retail Sales (essential for a better understanding of the Fed’s future interest rates policies)
Worse than Expected

16th of August, Building Permits
Worse than Expected

17th of August, FOMC Meeting Minutes (U.S.A.)
Economists see the December meeting as the most likely time for a rate increase since it follows the U.S. presidential election

Eyes on today release: U.S. New Home Sales: it measures the annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month


GBP/USD

GBP/USD Daily Chart

Weekly Trend: Overbought
1st Resistance: 1.3220
2nd Resistance: 1.3380
1st Support: 1.3080
2nd Support: 1.2885
3rd Support: 1.2680


GBP

Recent Facts:

22nd of July 2016, UK Services PMI (key indicator of the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector)
Worse than Expected. Setting a new historical low, the lowest value of the last 7 years

27th of July 2016, Gross Domestic Product (preliminary)
Better than Expected

4th of August, Bank of England Interest Rates decision (expected a cut)
Bank of England lowers Interest Rates as Expected (record low of 0.25%) and increases purchase program

9th of August, Manufacturing Production (measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers)
Slightly Worse than Expected

9th of August, Trade Balance
Worse than Expected. Setting a new historical low

16th of August, UK Consumer Price Index (measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation)
Higher than Expected. Setting a new high since January 2015

18th of August, U.K. Retail Sales
Better than Expected. Core Retail Sales YoY at the highest since November 2015


USD

Recent Facts:

See above.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD Daily Chart

Weekly Trend: Overbought
1st Resistance: 0.7690
2nd Resistance: 0.7916
1st Support: 0.7510
2nd Support: 0.7420
3rd Support: 0.7200


AUD

Recent Facts:

19th of July 2016, Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting
Possible further easing in the next month to counteract the negative shock from the Brexit vote

26th of July, CPI (key inflation data in Australia) pared

2nd of August, Interest Rates decision cut to from 1.75% to 1.50% as Expected

4th of August, Retail Sales (Jun)
Worse than Expected

11th of August, Reserve Bank of New Zealand's rate statement
Interest rates cut (to 2%) as Expected

18th of August, Employment Change
Better than Expected. Highest since the beginning of this year

Eyes on tomorrow release: New Zealand Trade Balance and Australia’s Construction Work Done (it measures the change in the total value of completed construction projects)


USD

Recent Facts:

See above.

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