Friday was a much better day than Thursday. Not everything went 100% to plan, but the process of renewed strength in the Dollar developed very well. Indeed, while there is likely to be a slow start to the today’s trading, the larger US Dollar uptrend remains intact. The 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds have been doing their job in terms of following up to ensure that the trend continues. There is a larger correction due before too long, but for now the basic trend continues. There has been no single Dollar-currency pair that I follow that is not indicating any significant rejection of this process.
Today, the Continental Europeans look like bowing to the strong Dollar but I suspect will then see a period of corrective price activity. From that point it will be a matter of how short or long the correction takes. Even GBP/USD seems to have avoided the recycling I had been looking for – and therefore has a similar expectation to its Europeans buddies.
The Aussie, following its correction higher, saw steady losses over Friday. This too, is suggesting a correction before the downtrend resumes. When it does it should mainly be correlated with the Europeans.
The JPY pairs also developed as expected. USD/JPY wasn’t expecting to move much higher on Friday and instead edged sideways to lower. USD/JPY should extend its gains but I’m not expecting a rout. Equally, EUR/JPY is also coming to a point where some corrective behaviour is due to develop. It is still on a slippery slope but appears to be reaction to EUR/USD rather than USD/JPY. Thus, it seems as if EUR/USD has more influence today.
Caution in the first half of the day at least but be aware of some correction/consolidation as the day continues.