After a tepid, though mildly bullish, response to the FOMC meeting minutes released last night, gold has risen this morning and is in the process of breaking through resistance at $1333 and more importantly confirming the break of the 65 week MA and the long term down trend line.
This is a potentially very bullish development and would strongly suggest that the intermediate term bear market correction in gold is over.
This development also suggests that we can expect to see further dollar weakness and equities may be approaching a top as well. This morning, the dollar is clinging to support at 80 and equity futures are down sharply and in danger of breaching the 20 DMA - a potentially significant development.
Support can be found at $1333, $1325-$1326, $1318-$1322, $1310, $1306, $1300, $1289, $1285, $1263, $1257-$1260, $1250-$1252, $1237-$1240, $1220-$1225, $1210, $1200 and $1180. A break of $1180 would have serious bearish implications for gold and suggest a decline to $1000-$1050 in the short term - however the break below $1250 seems to have been invalidated, indicating that a return to $1180 is now much less likely.
Resistance can be found at $1340-$1342, $1352-$1354, $1392-$1395, $1400, $1420 and $1435. We are now breaking through the key 65 week MA - this would suggest that the intermediate down trend is at an end and higher prices are ahead.
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