Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Earlier this week the Fed raised short-term interest rates to a range of 1.00 to 1.25%. To many of us, that's still a very low level. In fact you have to go back to October 2008 to find a higher level...

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday hiked interest rates again, asserting that moderate economic growth will continue for the foreseeable future. But confidence appeared to be in short supply via the...

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates today – at a time when the Treasury yield spread has become relatively compressed. That’s a warning sign, according to the...

With the FOMC winding up their June meeting today, the financial news shows and press will be all about whether or not they will vote to increase short term rates, by how much and then immediately...

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through yesterday's market close.Let's take a closer look at recent activity in US Treasuries. The yield on the 10-year note ended the day at 2.21% and...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators reduced their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week for a second straight week, according to the latest...

The bounce in Treasury yields witnessed after the election of Donald Trump is now decaying in the D.C. swamp. If the Fed continues to ignore this slow growth and deflationary signal from the bond...

As I observed over the last two weeks, most Fed presidents believe they have achieved their dual mandate – full employment and inflation near 2%. Today, I want to look at the counter-arguments...

The economy continues to do well, along with the stock market, prompting many to worry about inflationary pressures picking up speed. Below looks at the TIP—TLT ratio and the message it is...

Last week, I discussed the views of 4 Federal Reserve presidents to discern their current interest rate policy. This week’s column finishes that analysis. I would like to offer a personal thanks...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators sharply increased their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week for a third consecutive week, according...

We discuss the Bond Market in this video, focusing on our calculations of comparative real yields from Germany, the United Kingdom, France and Switzerland for the 10-Year Bond offering. The last thing...

Bund holding the below first resistance at 161.00/160.95 targets minor support at 160.80/76 (we closed just below here) then 160.60/55 (also yesterday's low). A break lower today targets 160.44/41...

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates again in June, a policy decision that looks set to further squeeze the Treasury yield curve. The spread between the 10-Year and 3-Month...