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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Stocks And Bonds: Best Friends Forever?
By 
 - May 02, 2013

It’s interesting the way different markets relate to one another. Typically Treasury bonds aren’t the best friends of stocks, moving in opposite directions most of the time. There have of course been ...

 
CGB: Outlook Turning Negative
By 
 - May 01, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond retested 136.85/90 highs and resistance. The daily outlook is turning negative so we do not expect a move beyond here at this stage and indeed we topped out here ...

 
CGB: Failed Below Resistance
By 
 - Apr 30, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond beat 136.69/71 but failed just below 136.85/90 highs and resistance. The daily outlook is turning negative so we do not expect a move beyond here at this stage. ...

 
CGB: Could Retest Recent Highs
By 
 - Apr 29, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond beat resistance at 136.55 for 136.69/71 which has held but above here today we should retest 136.85/90 highs and resistance. The daily outlook is turning negative so...

 
Bond-Choking Central Banks Expand Investment Menu
By 
 - Apr 29, 2013

Central banks around the globe are choking on low-yielding bonds, and as result are now expanding their investment menu beyond Treasuries into equities. Expansionary monetary policies purchasing ...

 
CGB: Testing 136.22 Support
By 
 - Apr 28, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond testing 136.22 support but below 136.17 we could reach 136.08/04. This is another strong support level and we would expect a floor here this week. Expect a bounce ...

 
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10-Year Yield At Its 2013 Closing Low
By 
 - Apr 28, 2013

What's New: I've updated the charts below through Friday's close. The S&P 500 is now up 10.94% for 2013 and a mere 0.70% below the all-time closing high of April 11th. The yield on the 10-year note ...

 
The Bearish 30-Year Treasury Trade
By 
 - Apr 25, 2013

We all know the Fed has short-term rates pinned to the floor. So I’m not saying we’ll see a surge higher anytime soon. And I don’t expect the FOMC to raise rates at its meeting next ...

 
CGB: Daily Outlook Turning Negative
By 
 - Apr 25, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond broke strong support at 136.36 but held above 136.22. This is good support again today but below here we could reach 136.08/04. This is another strong support level ...

 
CGB: Broke Above 136.69/71
By 
 - Apr 25, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond broke above 136.69/71 but failed below resistance at 136.90/96. we then plunged to close lower and this reversal day may signal a top is now in place.Watch strong ...

 
Japanese Uridashi Issuance
By 
 - Apr 24, 2013

(This Great Graphic and the following analysis is provided by my colleague, Dr. Win Thin. He focuses on Uridashi bond issuance in Japan, which are bonds sold directly to households. The data comes ...

 
CGB: Buying Opportunity?
By 
 - Apr 23, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond has been holding last Wednesday’s range from 136.26 up to 136.69/71. We tested this upper end of the range yesterday and above 136.77/79 today further ...

 
CGB: Broke 136.53/59
By 
 - Apr 22, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond broke 136.53/59 but failed just below the next target of 136.77/79 last week. Support today at 136.39/36 but below 136.28 presents a buying opportunity at 136.07/02 ...

 
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10-Year Yield Hovers Near 2013 Low
By 
 - Apr 22, 2013

What's New: I've updated the charts below through Friday's close. The S&P 500 is 2.39% off its all-time high set on April 11th. The yield on the 10-year note closed Friday at 1.73%, one basis point ...

 
Are Municipal Bonds Currently A Good Investment?
By 
 - Apr 21, 2013

The short answer is probably not. Certificates of deposit (CDs) are safer and have a major yield advantage, even after factoring in the tax benefits of municipal bonds. There are two main reasons that...

 
Telling Stories About TIPS
By 
 - Apr 21, 2013

It always bugs me a bit when a market event that happens for one cause is attributed to another cause merely to advance an easy narrative. The awful 5y TIPS auction Thursday and subsequent flush of ...

 
Bund Forecast: April 18, 2013
By 
 - Apr 19, 2013

Bund shot higher from 145.35 to 146.36. We need to hold above 146.22/24 to allow a test of the April highs at 146.54. Above here a test of the all time highs towards 146.89 should follow. A break of ...