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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Gregory W. Harmon
Bond Inflation Will Abate
By Gregory W. Harmon - Feb 27, 2014

That's what the bond market is saying. The chart below shows the the CRB Index (an inflation measure) with the Treasury Inflation Protected Bonds (TIP) as the blue area. The TIP’s are the Bond market ...

Jason Sen
Schatz: Negative Double Top Expected
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Schatz resistance at 110.62/63 today then a selling opportunity at 100.65/66 with a negative double top expected.Immediate support is 110.57/56 but below 110.54 today risks a retest of good support ...

Jason Sen
Bobl: Important Support Today
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Bobl managed to retest the 126.96/99 February highs, and then pull back sharply. This has left a negative double top pattern and could lead to a test of support at 126.65. Below 126.60 then sees this...

Jason Sen
Bund: Could Retest 144.29
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Bund managed a break higher to 144.29. Immediate resistance at 144.00/02 but above here we could retest 144.29. A break higher today is certainly possible and should target the 144.55/57 February ...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Daily Chart Positive
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Gilts got very close to our target of 110.70 and topped at 110.66. We backed away quite sharply but met support at 110.01/98 which should hold the downside today. However, if we continue lower look ...

Dailyfx
Treasury Flows At 4-Year Lows
By Dailyfx  - Feb 18, 2014

Talking Points US Net Long-term TIC Flows (DEC) (prior rev. -$28.0) (survey $30.0B) ACTUAL: -$45.9B US Total Net TIC Flows (DEC) (prior rev. -$13B) ACTUAL: -$119.6B Data indicates some of the ...

Chris Kimble
Are The Bears Awakening?
By Chris Kimble - Feb 12, 2014

In early 2007 the Fed Stress index was low and the high yields adjusted spread was even lower. Was that good or bad for the markets? When these conditions took place, lazy bears ended up pretty ...

Jason Sen
Bund: Double Top Is Expected
By Jason Sen - Feb 12, 2014

Bund held resistance at 143.65/70 then 144.05/10 for a selling opportunity. However, be aware that a break above 144.20 cannot beruled out and targets 144.30, possibly even a retest of 144.54/58 highs...

Jason Sen
Bobl: Could Retest 126.84
By Jason Sen - Feb 12, 2014

Bobl immediate resistance at 126.65, but above here could retest 126.84. We should struggle here but a retest of 126.94/98 highsshould be seen as an excellent selling opportunity as the daily chart ...

Jason Sen
Schatz: Selling Opportunity At 100.65/66
By Jason Sen - Feb 12, 2014

Schatz held strong resistance at 110.59/60. Above 110.63 offers a selling opportunity at 100.65/66 with a negative double topexpected.Immediate support is 110.56 but below 110.54 today risks a retest...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Immediate Resistance At 110.27/31
By Jason Sen - Feb 12, 2014

Gilts dipped back to the neck line at 109.95/90 as predicted and bottomed exactly here. Next confirmation of the bearish patternis a break below here and sees 109.69, 109.36 then 109.15 but be aware ...