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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Schatz: Losses Possible This Week
By 
 - May 06, 2013

Schatz tested strong resistance at 110.85/88 highs for this year & took a big tumble from here. Further losses look very possible this week with 110.74 as out first support. Below here we meet ...

 
A Bubble In The Bond Market?
By 
 - May 06, 2013

In many ways, 2013 has started off like 2012. Long term Treasury bond rates started 2012 at 2.9% and spiked to 3.5% by April 19. That was the peak and they finished the year practically unchanged. We ...

 
A Natural Floor On Corporate Spreads?
By 
 - May 05, 2013

U.S. corporate yields hit another record low on Friday. The Merrill Lynch U.S. investment grade corporate bond index yield is now at 2.64%, while high yield is at 5.35% - both are at an all-time low. ...

 
Interest Rates About To Blast Off? This Could Hurt Bonds, Big-Time
By 
 - May 05, 2013

I've been sharing this pattern with members for a couple of weeks. The 30-year yield may have created a multi-year double bottom at (1) and could have created a multi-year bullish inverse head & ...

 
CGB: Very Overbought Short Term
By 
 - May 03, 2013

The Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond is edging higher, and is very overbought short term. A surprise break above 137.00 could target 137.37, then 137.53 above.Support is 136.80 then 136.68/64. Any ...

 
Stocks And Bonds: Best Friends Forever?
By 
 - May 02, 2013

It’s interesting the way different markets relate to one another. Typically Treasury bonds aren’t the best friends of stocks, moving in opposite directions most of the time. There have of course been ...

 
CGB: Outlook Turning Negative
By 
 - May 01, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond retested 136.85/90 highs and resistance. The daily outlook is turning negative so we do not expect a move beyond here at this stage and indeed we topped out here ...

 
CGB: Failed Below Resistance
By 
 - Apr 30, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond beat 136.69/71 but failed just below 136.85/90 highs and resistance. The daily outlook is turning negative so we do not expect a move beyond here at this stage. ...

 
CGB: Could Retest Recent Highs
By 
 - Apr 29, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond beat resistance at 136.55 for 136.69/71 which has held but above here today we should retest 136.85/90 highs and resistance. The daily outlook is turning negative so...

 
Bond-Choking Central Banks Expand Investment Menu
By 
 - Apr 29, 2013

Central banks around the globe are choking on low-yielding bonds, and as result are now expanding their investment menu beyond Treasuries into equities. Expansionary monetary policies purchasing ...

 
CGB: Testing 136.22 Support
By 
 - Apr 28, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond testing 136.22 support but below 136.17 we could reach 136.08/04. This is another strong support level and we would expect a floor here this week. Expect a bounce ...

 
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10-Year Yield At Its 2013 Closing Low
By 
 - Apr 28, 2013

What's New: I've updated the charts below through Friday's close. The S&P 500 is now up 10.94% for 2013 and a mere 0.70% below the all-time closing high of April 11th. The yield on the 10-year note ...

 
The Bearish 30-Year Treasury Trade
By 
 - Apr 25, 2013

We all know the Fed has short-term rates pinned to the floor. So I’m not saying we’ll see a surge higher anytime soon. And I don’t expect the FOMC to raise rates at its meeting next ...

 
CGB: Daily Outlook Turning Negative
By 
 - Apr 25, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond broke strong support at 136.36 but held above 136.22. This is good support again today but below here we could reach 136.08/04. This is another strong support level ...

 
CGB: Broke Above 136.69/71
By 
 - Apr 25, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond broke above 136.69/71 but failed below resistance at 136.90/96. we then plunged to close lower and this reversal day may signal a top is now in place.Watch strong ...

 
Japanese Uridashi Issuance
By 
 - Apr 24, 2013

(This Great Graphic and the following analysis is provided by my colleague, Dr. Win Thin. He focuses on Uridashi bond issuance in Japan, which are bonds sold directly to households. The data comes ...

 
CGB: Buying Opportunity?
By 
 - Apr 23, 2013

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond has been holding last Wednesday’s range from 136.26 up to 136.69/71. We tested this upper end of the range yesterday and above 136.77/79 today further ...