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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Ed Yardeni
Bond Yields Heading Toward Zero By Ed Yardeni - Feb 02, 2015

Last year, in the 5/8 Morning Briefing, I discussed nine reasons why yields were falling rather than rising, using the following headings: “Bond shortage,” “Portfolio ...

Tim Knight
Bonds Ready To Sink? By Tim Knight - Jan 23, 2015

Bonds have been in a virtually uninterrupted uptrend since New Year’s Eve, 2013. Looking at interest rates, I wonder if we have turned the corner and are heading into higher rates. Examining ...

Marc Chandler
Japanese/Chines U.S. T-Bill Holdings By Marc Chandler - Jan 20, 2015

This Great Graphic, created on Bloomberg, shows Japan's (white line) and China's (yellow line) holdings of U.S. Treasuries in November 2014 based on the latest TIC data. Japan's holdings rose to a ...

BNP Paribas
How Loose Should ECB Policy Be? By BNP Paribas - Jan 20, 2015

Through the use of a dynamic Taylor rule we detect how loose the ECB monetary policy stance should be. Our ECB reaction function, suggests that short-term interest rates should have to be negative and...

Petros Steriotis
10 Year T-Note: Today's Outlook By Petros Steriotis - Jan 20, 2015

Treasury prices were rejected from technical resistance @ 131 on Friday. Holding above 129,50 keeps the bullish scenario intact. The Fed is not in a hurry to increase interest rates as long as oil ...

Tim Knight
Possible Bond Analog By Tim Knight - Jan 18, 2015

If it’s true, I’d say bonds are (finally) positioned for a meaningful, sustained fall. I am particularly interested in the similarity of price action vis-a-vis the long-term Fibonacci fan ...

Ed Yardeni
9 Reasons Why Bond Yields Are Falling By Ed Yardeni - Jan 14, 2015

The U.S. 30-Year Treasury auction today is likely to price the bonds around 2.50%. During the auction on November 13, 2014, the yield was 3.09%. The price of these bonds is up roughly 10% since then....

Ashraf Laidi
The Stock-Yield Ratio: What's It Mean? By Ashraf Laidi - Jan 13, 2015

As stocks hit a fresh record high relative to bond yields -- measured by the S&P 500/U.S. 10-Year yield ratio at 1081--the contrast between these two markets becomes palpable and the remaining ...