Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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The Muni Market Hits Halftime
By 
 - Jul 01, 2012

The municipal bond market is completing the halfway point of 2012 with a number of themes similar to those that were playing out last fall.Very cheap ratios in the intermediate and long end of the ...

 
Thoughts On Bond Ladders
By 
 - Jun 28, 2012

I received the following from a reader:   My primary motivation for writing to you is this post by Jeff Miller.   In my mind, you are the foremost expert blogger when it comes to bonds so I ...

 
Frenzied Buying Of Investment Grade Corporate Bonds Won't End Well
By 
 - Jun 28, 2012

Investors seem to have a bottomless appetite for investment grade (IG) corporate paper. Issuers are coming to market to borrow money at ridiculously low rates. Even for the longer maturities the ...

 
TLT looking Toppy Short Term
By 
 - Jun 27, 2012

With 3 different PDQs focused on TLT the consensus signal is short term SHORT. This signal is as of mid day and has led us to close our MRSI trade mentioned yesterday as part of the Situations ...

 
Leen's Lodge Report: Bond Markets Betting Eurozone Will Be Dismembered
By 
 - Jun 25, 2012

Fishermen plying the pristine waters of Maine tend to focus on bass and salmon, while they consider pickerel to be “trash fish.”  Pickerel have a mouthful of sharp teeth, linger in ...

 
Spain's Simultaneous Crisis
By 
 - Jun 21, 2012

Last year I wrote a piece in which I noted that the EU would implode before the end of 2012. The reason for this was clear: EU banks needed to roll over hundreds of billions of Euro debt (possibly ...

 
Economic Weakness And Uncertainty Buoy Bonds
By 
 - Jun 21, 2012

As we approach the end of the second quarter, a familiar pattern has emerged. For the last three years we have seen yields rise in the fourth quarter, peak in the first quarter of the new year, and ...

 
WSJ Economists' 10-Year Yield Forecasts: The Growing Spread
By 
 - Jun 20, 2012

Earlier this week the Wall Street Journal posted the results of its June Survey of economists (xls file). In the past my main interest in these forecasts has been the GDP estimates. But today my ...

 
The Quest For Yield: What About Bonds?
By 
 - Jun 20, 2012

The biggest risk for most investors is one they are not even thinking about:  Bond funds, the black swan of 2012.   Individual investors are on a mission. The cry comes from ...

 
Welcome to “Nothing Is Fixed”
By 
 - Jun 18, 2012

The G20 And The ESM...This is what's called, 'short of funds'. G-20 pressure mounting on Merkel.

 
Treasuries Off Historic Lows: Stay Tuned
By 
 - Jun 18, 2012

Note from dshort: The markets are still digesting the political developments in Greece and France. Meanwhile, here is an updated snapshot of Friday's closing yields. They are off the historic lows set...

 
Spanish 10-Year Falls: Possible ECB Intervention
By 
 - Jun 14, 2012

Earlier this morning, Spanish 10-year bond yields hit euro-area highs for the second day in a row, barely staying below the dreaded 7% level, which is significant as it suggests the need for a ...

 
Treasuries Update: Yields Rise Further Off Their Historic Lows
By 
 - Jun 13, 2012

Note from dshort: Here is an updated snapshot of yesterday's closing yields. They are off the historic lows set last Friday in the 5-, 7-, 10-, 20- and 30-year Treasuries against a backdrop of ongoing...

 
The Low Yield Price Of Fear
By 
 - Jun 12, 2012

The Equity Risk Premium has once again drifted up to all-time high levels in recent weeks. The S&P 500 has an earnings yield of around 7.9% (assuming S&P earnings of $105 versus current price ...

 
Bond Yields: Where's The Floor?
By 
 - Jun 11, 2012

The globe is awash in debt, deficits are exploding and the Euro is about to collapse…right? Well then why in the heck are six countries out of the G-7 seeing their 10-year sovereign debt trade ...

 
Bond Report: Stochastics Turning And Pointing Higher
By 
 - Jun 08, 2012

Bunds:Bunds saw further losses today after failing to hold over 143.14/25 we saw down to support at 142.52. This held and we bounce slightly at the close but this was held down by 143.14 ...

 
Sovereign CDS Activity: Germany Makes Top Five
By 
 - Jun 07, 2012

Here is the latest sovereign CDS volumes from DTCC. The two charts show the net CDS outstanding (one month average) and the daily trading volume (also one month average).A Few Items To Note:Italy and ...

CFDs Quotes
 SPX 500 Futures1,649.95-0.050.00%  
 NQ 100 Futures2,992.90+0.65+0.02%  
 US 3015,303.26+8.76+0.06%  
 DAX8,305.32-46.66-0.56%  
 FTSE 1006,654.34-42.45-0.63%  
 Japan 22514,568.00+84.02+0.58%  
 US Dollar Index83.70-0.09-0.11%  
CFDs Quotes
 Gold1,385.25-6.55-0.47%  
 Silver22.335-0.173-0.77%  
 Copper3.295-0.009-0.29%  
 Crude Oil93.84-0.41-0.44%  
 Natural Gas4.227-0.035-0.81%  
 US Cotton No.281.57-0.21-0.26%  
 US Coffee C127.05-3.83-2.92%  
 
 EUR/USD1.2936+0.0002+0.02%  
 GBP/USD1.5124+0.0016+0.10%  
 USD/JPY101.29-0.72-0.71%  
 USD/CHF0.9612-0.0077-0.79%  
 AUD/USD0.9652-0.0096-0.98%  
 USD/CAD1.0323+0.0020+0.19%  
 EUR/GBP0.8554-0.0006-0.08%  
CFDs Quotes
 Euro Bund144.51-0.02-0.01%  
 Euro BTP114.51-0.85-0.74%  
 Euro BOBL126.376+0.015+0.01%  
 UK Gilt117.70+0.19+0.16%  
 US 2 YR T-Note110.23-0.01-0.01%  
 US 10 YR T-Note131.31+0.02+0.02%  
 US 30 YR T-Bond143.32+0.25+0.17%  
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