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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Chris Kimble
Interest Rates: Is The Fed Losing Control? By Chris Kimble - May 06, 2015

Is the Fed losing control of interest rates? I always though that it was in control of them. If true, then does that mean that Janet is raising rates and not telling anyone? The table below looks at ...

Trader Moe
The 10-Year Just Reached Its Target By Trader Moe - May 05, 2015

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury bill Just Reached VWAP of its Bottoming Megaphone (Red) The 10-year just reached VWAP of its red bottoming megaphone. I expect it to form a bottoming megaphone across VWAP ...

Philip Baker
Is The U.S. Long Bond Rate Overshot? By Philip Baker - May 05, 2015

Since 17 April, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury bond rate has increased 35bps from 2.51% to 2.86%. Given the volatility in the bond rate, this represents a 1.95 sigma increase, having a 2.5% probability ...

Ed Yardeni
German Bond Selloff Spills Into U.S. By Ed Yardeni - May 04, 2015

In recent days, there have been lots of mixed and confusing signals coming out of the Eurozone and US economies, and investors have acted accordingly. On Friday, May Day was a happy day for stock ...

Marc Chandler
Euro And The German Bund: 1 Trade? By Marc Chandler - May 01, 2015

Over the past several months, the German bund has rallied and the euro has fallen. This Great Graphic from Bloomberg illustrates the co-movement. The 10-year bund yield is the white line. It fell ...

Dean Popplewell
German Bunds Plummet On Investor Advice By Dean Popplewell - Apr 29, 2015

Euro-area government bonds are falling out of favour. Top money managers are turning against securities after yields dropped to unprecedented lows across the region. Emerging signs of inflation are ...

Saxo Bank
The Market Is Noticing EU Bond Spreads By Saxo Bank - Apr 28, 2015

The 2-year vs. 10-year spread often steepens when there is uncertainty. The Italian 2 year vs. 10 year are an indication of "spill over" from Greece.... Not alarming yet, but the market is starting to...