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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Jason Sen
BOBL: Bull Trend Intact
By Jason Sen - May 26, 2014

BOBL spent last week consolidating 2 months of gains as we became overbought, but the outlook remains quite positive with the bull trend intact. Immediate resistance at 126.56/57 then strong ...

Jason Sen
SCHATZ: Running Into Strong Resistance
By Jason Sen - May 26, 2014

SCHATZ continued higher last week using the 100 week moving average as support. Prices hit our target of 110.63/64 and topped there. Above here, this week we run in to strong resistance from the ...

Jason Sen
Euribor: Support/Resistance
By Jason Sen - May 26, 2014

Euribor June 14 resistance at 9976 (March Highs), contract highs at 9979/80, 9982, 9984. Support at 9974, 9972, 9970, 9966/65 (January low), 9964 (December low), 9959/58 (October low).Sept 14 ...

Barry Ferguson
Treasuries Speak In Sign Language
By Barry Ferguson - May 25, 2014

The chart below is a year-to-date (as of 5/23/14) look at U.S. 10-Year Treasury prices in green and the Russell 2000 in blue. Clearly the better investment so far has been Treasuries. The 10-year is ...

Chris Ciovacco
Is Fed Making Same Low-Rate Mistakes?
By Chris Ciovacco - May 20, 2014

2014: Seeing Some Bubble-Like Comments The segments below from a recent CNN Money article have a familiar 2002-2006 housing bubble ring to them: The competition for the homes that are available is ...

Peter Schiff
The US 10 Year And The Belgian Connection
By Peter Schiff - May 20, 2014

One of the biggest questions at the end of 2013 was how the Treasury market would react to the reduction of bond buying that would result from the Federal Reserve's tapering campaign. If the Fed were ...

U.S. Vs. International Bond Yields
By  - May 20, 2014

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield has fallen from 3% to start the year down to 2.5% yesterday.  The decrease was unexpected for most people, especially since inflation and growth expectations both ...

David Kotok
What Happened To The Muni Meltdown?
By David Kotok - May 19, 2014

The last few weeks have seen a very decent drop in intermediate- and longer-term tax-free bond yields. This year’s stable muni market is very different from that of a year ago, when the great ...

David Kotok
Ten Year Treasury Note Currently At 2.5%
By David Kotok - May 18, 2014

The 10-year benchmark US Treasury yield is now 2.5%. That's right – one can loan money to the United States in a riskless transaction, earn 2.5% interest, and be paid back in 10 years. The movement in...

Chris Kimble
The 10 Year: Is That A H&S Breakout?
By Chris Kimble - May 16, 2014

So far, 2014 is the year of bond strength and good performance, as the iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury (ARCA:TLT) is up 10% more than the S&P 500. The chart above reflects that the inverted 10-year ...

Sober Look
When Were Treasury Yields This Low?
By Sober Look - May 16, 2014

We've had an unprecedented compression in US (and global) government bond yields in a short period of time. Here is one surprising fact: Treasury yields are now at the level they were during the US ...

Tim Knight
Interest Rate Free-Fall
By Tim Knight - May 14, 2014

Looks like the Fed’s gradual departure from being a massive bond buyer isn’t hurting interest rates. Indeed, they are slip-sliding away. Interestingly, sectors that would normal benefit from this ...

Chris Kimble
Is Junk-Bond Market Priced To Perfection?
By Chris Kimble - May 13, 2014

Junk bond mutual funds are now nearing resistance levels at (1), which has kept them from moving higher for the past 10-years. In the past when these resistance lines were hit, it represented a peak ...