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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

ETF Prophet
Poaching The Bond Cycle…..3.25.14
By ETF Prophet  - Mar 28, 2014

Here’s the last word on iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury (ARCA:TLT) vs. ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (ARCA:TBT) (20 year treasuries vs its ultra inverse).  Despite all the news dynamics and ...

Chris Kimble
What Does Bond Pattern Mean?
By Chris Kimble - Mar 27, 2014

2013 wasn't kind to the bond market -- one of the worst years in a long, long time. The decline in bond prices drove iShares Barclays 20+ Yr. Treasury (ARCA:TLT) down to its 38% Fibonacci retracement...

Gary Tanashian
Is The Yield Curve Really Flattening?
By Gary Tanashian - Mar 27, 2014

There is a lot of talk now about the yield curve flattening. A flattening curve is commonly viewed as bad for gold, and according to Mark Hulbert, in Why you should care about the yield curve, is an ...

Sober Look
5-Year T-Bill Cheapest In Years On Selloff
By Sober Look - Mar 26, 2014

The five-year treasury yield hit a multi-year high relative to the average of the two- and the ten-year rates (the 5-year treasury is cheap on a relative basis). The chart below shows a measure of how...

Jason Sen
Schatz: Break Above 110.43 Is Positive
By Jason Sen - Mar 26, 2014

Schatz beat 110.37 to hit our selling opportunity at 110.41/42. We topped exactly here and should struggle at this resistance again today. However a break above 110.43 is positive and targets ...

Jason Sen
Bobl: Hit Target Of 125.39/45
By Jason Sen - Mar 26, 2014

Bobl hit our target of 125.39/41 for a selling opportunity and topped exactly here. Overbought short term so we should struggle here again today. However a break higher cannot be ruled out and could ...

Jason Sen
Bund: Overbought Short Term
By Jason Sen - Mar 26, 2014

Bund continued higher to resistance at 143.25/30 and a high for the day as expected. We held on to 143.05/00 but below here adds pressure today and could test support at 142.81/77. A good chance of a...

Jason Sen
CGB: Hits Selling Opportunity
By Jason Sen - Mar 26, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond hit our selling opportunity at 129.96/130.00. We over ran as far as 130.09 but only a close above the 200 day moving average at 130.06 is now seen as positive for ...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Turned Lower
By Jason Sen - Mar 26, 2014

Gilts unable to beat the 200 day moving average and turned lower as predicted breaking 109.72 to hit next target and support at 109.57/55. We bottomed exactly here as expected and a good chance we do...

Tim Knight
Time For Bonds To Break Or Blow
By Tim Knight - Mar 26, 2014

For the 4th time in recent memory, TLT is approaching its resistance level at 109.18. In this insanely-leveraged world of ours, our economic future relies largely on interest rates, so it’s going to ...

Michael Ashton
Treasurys Throw A Curve Ball
By Michael Ashton - Mar 26, 2014

I saw a story on MarketWatch on Monday which declared that the “Treasurys most sensitive to rising interest rates” had been ditched by investors while those investors instead were “gobbling up ...

Chris Kimble
Stock Direction: Watch High-Yield Spreads
By Chris Kimble - Mar 25, 2014

High-yield funds are considered by many to be good leading indicators for the future direction of the stock market. Above are four high-yield funds (Not ETF's) that reflect a move higher this year: ...

Michael Harris
Bond Prices Attempting Another Rally
By Michael Harris - Mar 25, 2014

Bond prices have moved in a horizontal channel since the start of last month, but now there is a clear attempt at a breakout to the upside. The iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury ETF (ARCA:TLT), will ...