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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Andrew Thrasher
Are Bonds About To Weaken?
By Andrew Thrasher - Mar 05, 2014

The bond market has been the star performer for 2014 with the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) up nearly 6%. In January I discussed the bond chart I was watching and highlighted the positive ...

Michael Lombardi
Bonds: Something Wicked This Way Comes
By Michael Lombardi - Mar 04, 2014

The bond market is in trouble. As we all know, the Federal Reserve has been the biggest driver of bonds since the financial crisis. The central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate to near zero, ...

Jeff Pierce
Where Bonds Could Find Resistance
By Jeff Pierce - Mar 02, 2014

I continue to believe the bull market in bonds is over and these will trade lower over the coming years, however small rallies within that downtrend will appear from time to time. Should this continue...

Gregory W. Harmon
Bond Inflation Will Abate
By Gregory W. Harmon - Feb 27, 2014

That's what the bond market is saying. The chart below shows the the CRB Index (an inflation measure) with the Treasury Inflation Protected Bonds (TIP) as the blue area. The TIP’s are the Bond market ...

Jason Sen
Schatz: Negative Double Top Expected
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Schatz resistance at 110.62/63 today then a selling opportunity at 100.65/66 with a negative double top expected.Immediate support is 110.57/56 but below 110.54 today risks a retest of good support ...

Jason Sen
Bobl: Important Support Today
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Bobl managed to retest the 126.96/99 February highs, and then pull back sharply. This has left a negative double top pattern and could lead to a test of support at 126.65. Below 126.60 then sees this...

Jason Sen
Bund: Could Retest 144.29
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Bund managed a break higher to 144.29. Immediate resistance at 144.00/02 but above here we could retest 144.29. A break higher today is certainly possible and should target the 144.55/57 February ...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Daily Chart Positive
By Jason Sen - Feb 20, 2014

Gilts got very close to our target of 110.70 and topped at 110.66. We backed away quite sharply but met support at 110.01/98 which should hold the downside today. However, if we continue lower look ...

Dailyfx
Treasury Flows At 4-Year Lows
By Dailyfx  - Feb 18, 2014

Talking Points US Net Long-term TIC Flows (DEC) (prior rev. -$28.0) (survey $30.0B) ACTUAL: -$45.9B US Total Net TIC Flows (DEC) (prior rev. -$13B) ACTUAL: -$119.6B Data indicates some of the ...

Chris Kimble
Are The Bears Awakening?
By Chris Kimble - Feb 12, 2014

In early 2007 the Fed Stress index was low and the high yields adjusted spread was even lower. Was that good or bad for the markets? When these conditions took place, lazy bears ended up pretty ...