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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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US10Y: Higher Yields Here We Come
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 - Aug 22, 2013

Bond prices tanked after the FOMC Minutes increased the likelihood of 2013 tapering event. Unlike Stocks and FX, Bond traders were unanimous in their reaction, with 10Y benchmark prices hitting lower ...

 
New Fed Chairman: Uncertainty Ahead For Bond Investors
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 - Aug 22, 2013

In recent weeks much has been written and said about who President Obama should select as the next Fed Chairman. Supporters of Larry Summers and Janet Yellen are said to be each pressing the case for ...

 
Junk Bubble About To Break? Critical Levels At Hand
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 - Aug 21, 2013

I Love junk bonds!Two For OneThey're awesome total return tools when the trend is up while they provide quality "leading signals" for the macro economy. Speaking of total return, the chart below ...

 
Bonds: Once A Good Investment, Now A Bad One
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 - Aug 20, 2013

Risks in the bond market continue to pile up quickly. Bond investors need to be very careful. They need to be very vigilant about their next step. June was the first month since August of 2011 that ...

 
U.S. 10Year At 125.0 And Holding On
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 - Aug 20, 2013

Daily ChartFed Tapering is the most commonly used phrase in market commentary these days, and has been blamed as the driver for why US stocks pushed lower yesterday. However, yields of the benchmark ...

 
The One Line Bernanke Is Praying Doesn’t Break
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 - Aug 20, 2013

The QE party is ending. And the hangover that follows is going to be brutal.Since 2007 the Central Bankers of the world have operated under the belief that they can hold the financial system together ...

 
FTSE Yields: Ominous Similarities To 2007
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 - Aug 19, 2013

There’s never a shortage of comparisons with 2007 when it comes to equities. Comparing chart patterns, price-earnings ratios, earnings outlooks, interest rate environments and other factors in ...

 
U.S. 10Y Note Hitting 125.0 For The First Time In 2 Years
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 - Aug 19, 2013

Daily ChartThere has been renewed speculation that the Fed would execute tapering action in September. Whether this speculation has any merit is debatable, but the impact on US Treasuries is clear for...

 
Treasury Yields In Perspective
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 - Aug 18, 2013

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range ...

 
Bonds Break Important Support
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 - Aug 18, 2013

Let's take a look at bonds because rising rates are capturing broad attention.We use the 20+ Year T-Bonds ETF (TLT) as the surrogate for long bond timing. As of 5/20/2013 TLT is on a Trend Model ...

 
What If Rates Jumped 50%?
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 - Aug 15, 2013

What ripple impacts would take place if interest rates rise 50% from current levels: Mortgages impacted? Government debt cost rise? Underfunded pension costs increase?Danger AheadThe 10-year yield ...

 
GBP/USD Shifts To 2-Year Spreads
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 - Aug 15, 2013

Although today’s release of UK employment date appeared neutral by the measure of the ILO figures used by the Bank of England, the second consecutively monthly decline of 29K in claimant ...

 
Fed May Taper, But UK And German Bond Yields Are Rising Faster
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 - Aug 14, 2013

Speculation that the Fed will begin slowing its purchases of long-term assets as early as next month is arguably the most significant market force. One would intuitively expect that, given the forward...

 
Does Inflation Gauge Breakout Spell Trouble For Bonds?
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 - Aug 13, 2013

A wide variety of bonds have been under pressure since their May highs. This doesn't just apply to government bonds. The above four-pack reflects a cross section of bonds (govt., high-quality corp. ...

 
Bond Yields Punish Housing Stocks Again
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 - Aug 13, 2013

One of the most important charts that any trader can follow at this stage of the game is the chart of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Today, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note is 2.71 ...

 
The Great Bond Non Rotation
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 - Aug 12, 2013

The Investment Company Institute (ICI) estimated weekly net cash outflow from bond mutual funds of $13.5 billion during the week of June 12. This followed a staggering $10.9 billion outflow the ...

 
Is That It For The 30-Year Bond Run?
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 - Aug 09, 2013

On April 29, bond guru Bill Gross of PMICO sent a message on Twitter stating that the thirty-year bull in the bond market in bonds “likely ended”. Not long afterward, Dallas Federal Reserve President ...