Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Over the past decade, historically low bond yields have converted many bond investors into bond traders. Bond traders strategically buy and sell bonds to generate price gains. A bond coupon, a primary...

This post was originally published at TopDown Charts Bond market sentiment is reaching extreme levels Treasury volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, spiked to very high readings We see...

Alpine Capital Research commentary for the month of February 2022, titled, “Beta No Longer Has a 40-Year Tailwind.”Circa 1981-82, then Fed Chairman Paul Volcker hawkishly slayed...

On Tuesday, following Russian President Vladimir Putin's accelerated saber rattling and latest moves on Ukraine, investors are increasing their flight to safe havens, obscuring any action or inaction...

After flirting with an upside breakout for months, the US 10-year Treasury yield moved decisively to the upside in recent weeks and broke through a level that appeared to be a ceiling for much of the...

After a run of rising interest rates in recent months, the usual suspects in the US bond market have taken a hit this year. With one exception, all the major fixed-income slices are posting losses in...

This article was first published at TopDown Charts Developed market 10-year rates jump as the US 10-year hurdles the 1.9% figure. The 2% level is in sight as multiple signs point north for...

I've been paying close attention to bonds as the global markets react to rising inflation and global central bank moves recently. The Federal Reserve has yet to take any actions to raise rates, but we...

The stern message is that the Fed Funds rate could be raised at any time (which is possible even before the next FOMC meeting on March 16, in my opinion).I would not advise you to listen to those who...

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde roiled government bond markets big time when she said last week that eurozone policymakers can no longer exclude a rate hike this year. This...

Much has transpired in the macro world in the last five weeks ago, most notably the January 5 Fed Minutes that realigned investor perceptions of the Fed’s concern about inflationary...

The Federal Reserve’s plan to start raising interest rates in March—maybe by half a percentage point—is putting bond market analysts in a pickle. Yield on the 2-year Treasury note,...

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Jan....

A perfect storm of an imminent rise in interest rates, unabated inflation, surging infections from the COVID-19 Omicron variant, and the growing possibility Russia will invade Ukraine has unsettled...