Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The U.S. 10-Year T-Note is putting in a falling megaphone bottom (pink) as ES completes a rising megaphone top on Friday’s move up.The theoretical target for the 10-year is the red horizontal...

This past week saw a huge swing in interest rates at the long end of the curve with the long bond in particular getting knocked for a loop.As you can see from the chart, prices plunged lower...

In recent days, there have been lots of mixed and confusing signals coming out of the Eurozone and US economies, and investors have acted accordingly. On Friday, May Day was a happy day for stock...

Six years into a recovery, stocks at record levels, high-end real estate in the stratosphere and debt levels soaring in virtually every public and private sector. Time to scale back and protect those...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bearish bets10-Year Treasuries Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Over the past several months, the German bund has rallied and the euro has fallen. This Great Graphic from Bloomberg illustrates the co-movement. The 10-year bund yield is the white line. It fell...

The U.S. 10-year Needs a Retrace to At Least Its Red Megaphone VWAP The 10-year needs to retrace to at least its red megaphone VWAP. It should hit the target at the bottom of a potential major rising...

Euro-area government bonds are falling out of favour.Top money managers are turning against securities after yields dropped to unprecedented lows across the region. Emerging signs of inflation are...

The 2-year vs. 10-year spread often steepens when there is uncertainty. The Italian 2 year vs. 10 year are an indication of "spill over" from Greece.... Not alarming yet, but the market is starting to...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators add to bearish bets US 10 Year Year Treasuries: Large 10-year treasury note futures traders and...

The March report of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reaffirms what’s been obvious for some time: US economic activity in this year’s first quarter has been soft. It’s...

If a major financial crisis was approaching, we would expect to see the “smart money” getting out of stocks and pouring into government bonds that are traditionally considered to be...

Many European officials are trying to reassure investors and send a signal to Greek officials that it is not 2010-2012. European countries are better positioned to deal with Greece. The banks are...

Since 2011 the financial markets have been dominated by rises in paper markets and declines in commodity markets.Group One Paper Examples: T-Bonds, US Dollar Index, S&P 500 Index Group Two...