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Bearish Engulfing Pattern For GBP/CHF

Published 07/08/2014, 03:16 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:32 AM

Yesterday, the GBP/CHF made a bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart which might signal a reversal in this currency pair. Fundamentally, there is no reason to see a weakening the GBP or a strong CHF as also from a technical point of view we are not exactly at a resistance level, as on the weekly chart, the first resistance that I see is in the 1.5450 - 1.5480 area. However, the bearish engulfing formed at the top of a bullish trend, and is very clear, leaving no doubts about it.

Maybe it has no meaning, but looking at the rate action and confronting it with the 200 SMA on the daily chart, we notice that in the past 17 months, every time this pair was getting too far from the 200 SMA (see the red squares on my chart) the rate action came back to retest the moving average line. Maybe it wants to do the same even this time. If so, the 200 SMA is at 1.4794, but I don't think it will fall so much.

The 4h chart shows me that the first important support comes in the 1.5115 - 1.5140 area, but before that we need the 1.52885 area to be broken and the price to close under that level to have a confirmation of the bearish engulfing pattern.

For now I am tempted to sell this pair with a stop loss above 1.5375.

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