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Are Munis The Place To Be?

Published 01/31/2014, 02:23 PM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

Three weeks ago I took a trade in the Municipal Bond ETF (MUB) based on this technical review: Municipals Are Interesting For a Trade. It turned out to be a great trade but shook me out on a stop last week. Now heading into the end of the month, a review of that Municipals chart with a longer timeframe suggests that it is the place to be on a longer-time scale as well. At January's end, the ETF is moving above the 20-month Simple Moving Average for the first time since May 2013. The current move targets a Measured move higher to the 110 area and above that the broad movement suggests that 120 is possible.

iShares S&P National Muni Bond

The Play

The upward price action is supported by the rising RSI and the MACD flattening is a positive sign, although not reenforcing yet. For the longer-term investor, an entry here with a stop under the monthly low at about 103 shows a very good reward to risk ratio. It has options as well so you can make some extra income selling covered calls along the way.

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